What I love about Venmo is that they took payment processing and aggressively went after a niche - 'spotting' or paying back a friend for cash - tailoring the app to that unique experience. Good job Venmo!
Venmo hasn't been very successful thus far. They have a small to mid sized user base and they are currently operating at a loss (no fees on transactions that cost them money), so I think $26m is a pretty good number.
Their pricing is 3% on credit cards, and 0 on everything else. At best they would see 1% margin on credit cards, so $250M at 1%, is $2.5M/year. 10X optimistic projected revenue is a great deal for Venmo, and BrainTree is getting a functioning custodial account system and the team that built it.
There have been several "pay-your-friends" apps that achieve a lot of success for a while because they're free, then lose all momentum when they start charging. I'm not sure if Venmo is in the same boat, but it seems possible.
- Multiple of revenues
- Tech acquired vs time to build and opportunity cost.
- Braintree's perception of how much they can aggressively grow the offering when they offer it to their much larger customer base
They're only processing $10M of transactions/month, so even if they were to start charging fees, that wouldn't translate into much revenue. Agree that this is a great exit for the team.
Interested in revenue vs exit valuation... Can you say anything about it? The margins must be phenomenally low if the valuation was only 10% of what you process yearly...
If you process $260mm and charge 0% it's not really fair to view $26mm as a 10% revenue multiplier.
(Even for the small part of their business funded by credit cards, there's a $500 per customer lifetime exemption, and 3% minus higher fraud rate and 2-2.5+% CNP processor and interchange still puts their revenue at less than a small team's salary with 100% credit cards, and probably less than $100k/yr revenue on credit cards overall.
They're obviously being bought for team, technology, and growth potential; current customers are just traction, not revenue.