Well, I guess we will see what the discussion will be about in a couple months. You are right that 'AGI' is in the eye of the beholder so there really isn't a point in discussing it since there isn't an acceptable definition for this discussion. I personally care about actual built things and the things that will be built, and released, in the next few months will be in a category all their own. No matter what you call them, or don't call them, they will be extraordinary.
FWIW I've been following this field obsessively since the BERT days and I've heard people say "just a few months now" for about 5 years at this point. Here we are 5 years later and we're still trying to buy more runway for a feature that doesn't exist outside science-fiction novels.
And this isn't one of those hard problems like VTOL or human spaceflight where we can demonstrate that the technology fundamentally exists. You are ballparking a date for a featureset you cannot define and one that in all likelihood doesn't exist in the first place.
