It's difficult to predict because taxes are somewhat manipulatable. Will more compensation be deferred to avoid the tax? Will some people retire or move?
Rereading the article, which throws out a lot of misleading numbers, it sounds like their estimate was actually pretty close. So yeah I guess that seems reasonable
exactly - they're going after a segment that has the freedom, resources and will to respond effectively, with an entire industry supporting them. Now watch the state budget on these new revenue numbers and see the shortfall in coming years.