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Why isn't that already reflected in the price? Surely FX traders (who are mostly very large institutional investors) have already factored this into their models since it seems a very important factor?


RUB is a tiny market in FX and probably not many touching it due to current risk surface. Very large institutional investors are usually not big FX speculators anyway outside of exposure from their assets. FX tends to be a bit more fast money.


It is an important factor, just not yet.


Why the assumption that it’s not reflected in the price?


That's what they meant. Read the second sentence of the comment.




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