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How is that proof of ability more than luck?


He has been going at it consistently for many, many years now. He just happened to be lucky year after year?

Most people don't even try, but it doesn't stop them from accusing people who put in the work and who take the risks from just being lucky.


Bezos also had parents that gave him a several 100 thousand dollar loan that they never expected to be paid back. He's a product of Montessori and Ivy League education. Definitely not a rags to riches story


From 100 thousands to Billions is kind of rags to riches. And even so - you are saying he doesn't deserve his success? It doesn't count because he went to Montessori school?


I was a very bright kid (won math olympiads a lot), and I can get loans easily. Still I'm not Bezos-rich somehow ...


The problem I think is that people attribute all of success to the sheer iron will and willingness to suffer of the individual, when that just isn't the case. Are you attributing all of Amazon's success to Bezos solely? If he left do you assume Amazon would immediately start to fail? Was it Bill Gates alone who kept Microsoft afloat?

You have to consider luck, there's a ton of people in the world who put in the work and didn't get anything, and it's not just because they didn't work hard enough.


I don't see how luck invalidates my point; yes, you probably need luck to make big bucks, but that is just a part of the game. If you make so that no one can get seriously rich, "to prevent exploitation", congratulations, this is how you get Soviet Union, with Gulag and Golodomor and other stuff, but with oh so nice intentions, workers owning means of production, blah blah blah


Not everybody becomes a Billionaire, but most people with intelligence and skill amount to at least something. The luck factor is mitigated by people trying several things until they succeed. You throw out the hypothetical example of the talented people who didn't amount to anything, but how common is it really?

Would you also say Steve Jobs was merely lucky, and everybody else could have founded Apple? Perhaps people just don't know enough about what those CEOs do?

And of course at a basic level, it is always luck, because even being born, being healthy, the place where you are born, intelligence, and so on, are luck.

I think to assume people don't deserve stuff because they were lucky is rather backwards.

Imagine you had a brain tumor, and you need brain surgery. There is a surgeon who was very lucky - he was born white, male, to a wealthy family, so that he could afford to go to the best schools to become a really good brain surgeon.

Would you then say that guy doesn't deserve your money, because he was just lucky?`

I'd say that's just bullshit. It doesn't matter why or how he got his qualifications by luck, magic, whatever. What matters right now, what makes you willing to give him money, is that he can provide you with the best odds of a successful brain surgery.

You are welcome to pick a random poor person from the street to perform that surgery, for the sake of fairness. After all, it isn't their fault that they weren't able to afford the education to become a brain surgeon, right?

And if you say that brain surgeon should have to operate on you for free, that is exploitation, plain and simple. You dispose of his body. In the end he would be punished for becoming a brain surgeon, because people would feel entitled to his services and would make him work 20 hours a day, with no compensation.


There is an excellent paper on this, it is a combination of both luck and skill:

https://arxiv.org/abs/1802.07068




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