I agree and rather than post a sibling response, I'll add that I think it's necessary today, simply because we don't have AGI, yet. And also point out that we are talking about determining if AI is snake oil or not. There may be some scenarios where we can teach a computer to do something we can't teach a human to do, I can't think of any off the top of my head, but if we can't, then I'm going to be super doubtful that an AI software can do it better than a human, if at all.
AGI, in the singularity sense, will be solving problems before we even identify them as problems. Experts in a field can do this for the layman already and I think it's possible. Some don't. I do.
It'll be super interesting when it flips! When the student becomes the master and we, as a species, start learning from the computer. You can kind of get a sense of this from the Deep Mind founder's presentation on their AI learning how to play the old Atari game Breakout. He says when their engineers watched the computer play the game, it had developed techniques the engineers who wrote the program hadn't even thought of.
Even still, the engineers could teach another human how to play Breakout, so yes, I do believe they did in fact create a software to play Breakout better than they could.
Same for AlphaGo, but it only works when you have access to cheap simulation (breakout being a game easy to run, Go being just a board). It doesn't work as well in situations where you don't see the full state of the system, or where there is randomness.
AGI, in the singularity sense, will be solving problems before we even identify them as problems. Experts in a field can do this for the layman already and I think it's possible. Some don't. I do.
It'll be super interesting when it flips! When the student becomes the master and we, as a species, start learning from the computer. You can kind of get a sense of this from the Deep Mind founder's presentation on their AI learning how to play the old Atari game Breakout. He says when their engineers watched the computer play the game, it had developed techniques the engineers who wrote the program hadn't even thought of.
Even still, the engineers could teach another human how to play Breakout, so yes, I do believe they did in fact create a software to play Breakout better than they could.