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What londons_explore said. Windows OS didn't succeed, but the comments about the iPhone seem to have been basically accurate...?


the comments about the iPhone seem to have been basically accurate

If by "basically accurate," you mean "not accurate at all."

It's a long way from 2% to 45%. Not many companies get to underestimate their competition's potential marketshare by a factor of 22 and survive.


Apple has 15%, not 45%. So it's 5-8x, not 22x. And the original quote appears to be about all phones, not just smartphones, so the factor would in fact be even lower.


Apple has 45% in most OECD countries. Even higher in some of them, IIRC.


Is the original quote talking only about OECD countries? I think it's talking about worldwide.


It was partially accurate. Statistically no one bought an unsubsidized phone for $600. Apple lowered the price to $300 within 6 months and then went for the standardized subsidized model the next year.




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